Match Info

ChNL - Round 29

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Za Vodojemem (Chrudim)

Referee: Petrik J. (Cze)


	Chrudim		Zlín

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	5.25	3.75	1.51
	3.25	3.25	2.06
	3.15	3.41	2.14
	3.31	3.37	2.14	Watch
	3.41	3.3	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.59)	3.36 ↑ (3.08)	2.01 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chrudim
26.1%

Draw
27.7%

Zlín
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chrudim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chrudim's form might have worsened.

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zlín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chrudim than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chrudim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zlín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Chrudim - Zlín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chrudim will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Zlín will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chrudim (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zlín (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Chrudim (3.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Chrudim (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Chrudim (votes: 4 - 50%). Zlín (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Serak J. (G) 10. Bauer D. 17. Holub D. 8. Hrubes J. 7. Kejr M. 16. Kosek D. 20. Kozojed J. 9. Naprstek M. 4. Reznicek J. (C) 25. Toml M. 12. Wehowsky P.	17. Hustak P. (G) 31. Bartosak L. (C) 24. Cernin J. 6. Didiba J. 14. Kanu S. 28. Kolar J. 8. Machalik D. 11. Natchkebia Z. 16. Petruta S. 79. Polasek S. 12. Tkac D.
Substitutes
24. Cerny P. 14. Darmovzal D. 18. Florica L. 22. Shobowale A. 19. Skwarczek M. 59. Tlusty J. (G) 5. Zaknic L.	9. Brandner P. 10. Buchvaldek L. 15. Koubek M. 88. Poznar T. 1. Rakovan M. (G) 7. Reiter R. 21. Scernjavic T. 2. Simersky D. 77. Vukadinovic V.
Coaches
Tichai J.	Cervenka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kozojed J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wehowsky P. ↓, Zaknic L. ↑,
48', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
68', Petruta S. ↓, Simersky D. ↑,
73', Holub D. ↓, Florica L. ↑,
79', Cernin J. 🟨,
80', Kanu S. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
80', Didiba J. ↓, Buchvaldek L. ↑,
83', Kosek D. 🟨,
84', Buchvaldek L. 🟨,
90', Kejr M. ↓, Skwarczek M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga).

Chrudim is Qualified for Chance Liga (Promotion )

Zlín is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Chance Liga

Recent performances by Chrudim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zlín is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chrudim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zlín could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chrudim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Chrudim - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Chrudim
Czech Division 2
11.05.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Chrudim	1:1 ✺
07.05.25	Chrudim - Prostějov	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Viktoria Žižkov - Chrudim	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Chrudim - Artis Brno	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Táborsko - Chrudim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLWTW
- FC Zlín
Czech Division 2
11.05.25	Zlín - Vyškov	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Opava - Zlín	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Zlín - Varnsdorf	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sparta Prague B - Zlín	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Zlín - Baník Ostrava B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
04.11.24	Zlín - Chrudim	2:0

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