Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Chuncheon		Daegu 2

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.67	3.68	5.14
	1.65	3.65	4.94	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)	4.77 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chuncheon
55.1%

Draw
25.7%

Daegu 2
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

22.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chuncheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Daegu 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chuncheon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu 2 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daegu 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chuncheon - Daegu 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Lee D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Chuncheon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daegu 2 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Daegu 2 have a series of home games.

In this match Chuncheon is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
28.04.24	Siheung - Chuncheon	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Mokpo City - Chuncheon	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Chuncheon - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Yangpyeong - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTLL
- Daegu 2
South Korean K3 League
27.04.24	Daegu 2 - Paju Frontier	2:4 ✺
20.04.24	Daegu 2 - Siheung	1:4 ✺
13.04.24	Daegu 2 - Daejeon Korail	0:4 ✺
06.04.24	Daegu 2 - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Daegu 2 - Gimhae	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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