Match Info

K3 League - Round 22

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA, SportsEngine Play


	Chuncheon		Yeoju

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.30	3.25
	1.9	3.2	3.55
	2	3.35	3.85
	1.98	3.32	3.57	Watch
	1.86	3.25	3.65
	1.87	3.32	3.76
	1.9	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.23)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	3.6 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chuncheon
47.2%

Draw
27.6%

Yeoju
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chuncheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chuncheon's performance.

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeoju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeoju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chuncheon - Yeoju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).

Chuncheon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yeoju has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Chuncheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chuncheon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chuncheon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chuncheon	23	8	6	9	39:35	4	30
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
06.09.26	Mokpo City - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dangjin Citizen - Chuncheon	3:4 ✺
23.08.26	Gangneung - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Changwon City - Chuncheon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWT
- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
06.09.26	Pocheon - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mokpo City - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
25.07.26	Gangneung - Yeoju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Yeoju - Chuncheon	1:0
03.10.25	Chuncheon - Yeoju	1:2
08.06.25	Yeoju - Chuncheon	0:0
20.07.24	Yeoju - Chuncheon	1:0
06.04.24	Chuncheon - Yeoju	0:1

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