Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 7

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Daegu 2		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.12	3.39	2.23
	3.12	3.39	2.23
	3.2	3.14	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.6)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	2.23 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu 2
29.7%

Draw
28.3%

Paju Frontier
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daegu 2's form might have worsened.

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paju Frontier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu 2 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daegu 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paju Frontier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daegu 2 - Paju Frontier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
27', 0 - 1, Macedo L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Seong J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Ryu Yeon-Joon ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, Macedo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Paju Citizen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Daegu 2 have a series of home games.

Recently Paju Citizen have a series of guest games.

Paju Citizen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu 2
South Korean K3 League
20.04.24	Daegu 2 - Siheung	1:4 ✺
13.04.24	Daegu 2 - Daejeon Korail	0:4 ✺
06.04.24	Daegu 2 - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Daegu 2 - Gimhae	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Daegu 2 - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLLW
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
19.04.24	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Changwon City - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWL

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