Match Info

K3 League - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Changwon City		Chuncheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.30
	1.96	3.25	3.40	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.81
	1.91	3.36	3.76	Watch
	1.97	3.30	3.70
	2.02	3.36	3.62	Watch
	1.93	3.30	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
46.7%

Draw
27.7%

Chuncheon
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chuncheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Changwon City - Chuncheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Changwon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3.

Changwon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chuncheon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Chuncheon has had a series of home games.

Changwon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chuncheon	23	8	6	9	39:35	4	30
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Last Results with these Odds

Changwon City - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.88%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Changwon City - Geumsan Insam	3:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLWW
- Chuncheon FC
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Chuncheon - Yangpyeong	3:3 ✺
20.06.26	Chuncheon - Siheung	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Chuncheon - Daejeon Korail	3:3 ✺
30.05.26	Chuncheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
29.03.26	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:0
27.09.25	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:4
31.05.25	Changwon City - Chuncheon	2:1
19.10.24	Changwon City - Chuncheon	1:1
25.05.24	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:3
23.07.23	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:1
07.04.23	Changwon City - Chuncheon	0:1

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