Match Info

K3 League - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Gangneung		Yeoju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.87
	2.23	3.05	2.90	Watch
	2.35	3.20	3.16
	2.29	3.1	3.06	Watch
	2.30	3.05	3.10
	2.23	3.13	3.01
	2.24	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
40.2%

Draw
29.5%

Yeoju
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Yeoju have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Gangneung - Yeoju Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Yeoju will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Gangneung is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yeoju is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yeoju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangneung won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Last Results with these Odds

Yeoju - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	3:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Gangneung - Jecheon Citizen	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Dangjin Citizen - Gangneung	5:2 ✺
21.06.26	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Yeoju FC
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Gyeongnam - Yeoju	0:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
10.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Pyeongtaek Citizen - Yeoju	1:3 ✺
South Korean K3 League
27.06.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.04.26	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1
20.09.25	Gangneung - Yeoju	1:1
24.05.25	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1
17.08.24	Yeoju - Gangneung	3:4
21.04.24	Gangneung - Yeoju	0:0

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