Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Cianorte		Avenida

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.6
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3	3.85
	1.99	2.98	3.98
	1.94	3.13	3.83
	2	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cianorte
45.9%

Draw
29.8%

Avenida
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cianorte - Avenida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Joao Celeri ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Danrley ⚽,
20', Vitor Dadalt 🟥,
25', 2 - 1, Marcos Antonio ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 3 - 1, Joao Mafra ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Avenida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cianorte will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.24	Cianorte - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Concórdia - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Cianorte - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
09.06.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLTW
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.24	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Avenida	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Avenida	1:1 ✺
12.06.24	Avenida - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLTW

Cianorte - Avenida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide