Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Avenida		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.5	2.8	Watch
	2.85	2.61	2.98
	2.75	2.6	2.95	Watch
	2.7	2.62	2.9
	2.7	2.73	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.22)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)	2.89 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
33.2%

Draw
35.1%

Brasil de Pelotas
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

32.9%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

33.1%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasil de Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avenida will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (G) 5. Amaral 10. Bustamante H. 9. Caique 6. Jimenez J. 3. Kevlin 7. Laion 11. Matheus Martins 4. Vitor Dadalt 2. Yander 8. Ze Vitor	1. Wellington Santana (G) 4. Bruno Miguel 3. Guilherme Cerqueira 6. Higor (C) 7. Histone 11. Jeferson 8. Jonathan Cabeca 10. Kaue 2. Murillo Lima 5. Rafael Gelatti 23. Sorriso
Substitutes
19. Bardales JP. 18. Brayan 13. Cruz L. 16. David Luis 12. Gabriel Toebe (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 15. Luiz Meneses 20. Michel 23. Paniagua M. 14. Rafael Klein 22. Ronald (G) 17. Tallyson	16. Alan Bald 12. Alan Gobetti (G) 13. Aquila 14. Danilo Guimaraes 25. Gabriel 20. Gabriel Macedo 18. Higor Farias 15. Joao Victor 17. Marcel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Murillo Lima ↓, Danilo Guimaraes ↑,
46', Jonathan Cabeca ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Bustamante H. ⚽,
61', Bustamante H. ↓, JP Bardales ↑,
66', Ze Vitor 🟨,
73', Caique ↓, Michel ↑,
74', Matheus Martins ↓, Luiz Meneses ↑,
76', Jimenez J. 🟨,
77', Rael ↓, Alan Bald ↑,
77', Jeferson ↓, Higor Farias ↑,
82', Yander ↓, Cruz L. ↑,
82', Laion ↓, Tallyson ↑,
85', Histone 🟨,
89', Guilherme Cerqueira ↓, Aquila ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Aquila ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avenida won 1.

Avenida is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avenida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Avenida won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:13 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Avenida - Juventude	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Monsoon - Avenida	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Avenida - Caxias	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Internacional RS - Avenida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Internacional RS - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
15.02.25	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
Brazilian Serie D
10.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	4:0
23.06.24	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.01.24	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
24.02.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Avenida	1:1
04.02.19	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
22.01.19	Avenida - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1

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