Match Info
Serie D - Round 13Date: 19 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay (Cianorte)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Cianorte |
|
Itabirito |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
4 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.45 |
4.85 |
|
 |
1.75 |
3.33 |
4.62 |
|
 |
2.65 |
3.28 |
2.50 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
3.28 |
5.13 |
|
 |
1.66 |
3.52 |
4.26 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.73) |
3.39 ↓ (3.6) |
4.23 ↑ (3.95) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cianorte 50.5% | Draw 27.4% | Itabirito 22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Itabirito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+2.7%)Cianorte - Itabirito Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cianorte will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cianorte will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Serginho ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Tite ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Caique ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 3 - 1, Marcio Maranhao ⚽,
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).Recent performances by Cianorte have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Itabirito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Cianorte is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cianorte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;