Match Info

Serie D - Round 12

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Itabirito		Goiatuba

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	1.92	3.1	3.7
	1.96	3.08	3.68
				Watch
	1.97	3.1	3.72
	2.19	3.02	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
44.1%

Draw
29.5%

Goiatuba
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Goiatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Itabirito - Goiatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Jhoninha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Itabirito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.25	Itabirito - Operário MS	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	4:0 ✺
15.06.25	Itabirito - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	FC Cascavel - Itabirito	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Itabirito - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTTT
- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Goiatuba - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Operário MS - Goiatuba	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Goiatuba	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Goiatuba - Cianorte	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Cianorte - Goiatuba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.05.25	Goiatuba - Itabirito	0:0

Itabirito - Goiatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide