Match Info

Prva NL - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion HNK Cibalia (Vinkovci)


	Cibalia		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	1.99	3.37	3.4
	2.03	3.32	3.35	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.3
	2	3.24	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.03)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibalia
45.2%

Draw
27.7%

Kustošija
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibalia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Kustošija aligns with the current prediction.

Cibalia - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marijanovic L. (G) 11. Bartolovic L. 7. Boban G. 6. Britto 8. Djira M. 14. Hanuljak M. 88. Kamenar K. 2. Katic D. 4. Kelic R. 10. Misic P. 5. Rubic P.	1. Prslja L. (G) 55. Graf I. 8. Jurak L. 5. Kulenovic T. 3. Markanovic F. 25. Sopic S. 2. Soudani El A. 88. Sunjic N. 13. Vuckovic M. 7. Zabec D. 17. Zalazar M.
Substitutes
28. Bosnjak D. 12. Katalinic P. (G) 22. Kresic M. 20. Lagancic D. 17. Marojevic M. 21. Matic D. 19. Medo M. 3. Nekic F. 13. Rajkovic L.	10. Belinho 6. Dukic L. 9. Gashi M. 18. Krizmanic T. 19. Nwachukwu P. O. 14. Paizinho 16. Petrosyan R. 20. Pregelj D. 12. Rajic A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cibalia won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cibalia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cibalia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cibalia won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cibalia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Cibalia	7	3	4	0	7:4	3	13
16	Kustosija	7	1	3	3	3:5	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Cibalia
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	1:0 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
05.09.26	Vukovar 91 - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Cibalia - Orijent	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Bijelo Brdo - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cibalia - Dubrava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTTW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
06.09.26	Kustošija - Dinamo II Zagreb	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Segesta - Kustošija	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kustošija - Mladost Ždralovi	1:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
25.08.26	Kustošija - HNK Zadar	3:1
Croatian Prva NL
22.08.26	Dugopolje - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
31.03.23	Kustošija - Cibalia	1:1
28.10.22	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:2
13.08.22	Cibalia - Kustošija	2:2
30.04.22	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:1
30.10.21	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:0
06.03.21	Kustošija - Cibalia	2:2
12.09.20	Cibalia - Kustošija	1:2

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