Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 22

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Ciervos		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.46	2.05
	2.94	4.32	1.94	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.48	3.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (5.91)	4.04 ↑ (3.75)	1.93 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciervos
28.9%

Draw
23%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

24.6%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

24.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciervos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciervos's performance.

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciervos than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciervos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciervos - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Ciervos (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciervos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Recent performances by Ciervos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gavilanes Matamoros is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ciervos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gavilanes Matamoros has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gavilanes Matamoros is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciervos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ciervos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Ciervos - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ciervos - Deportivo Zitácuaro	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Ciervos	2:3 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Ciervos - Cordobés	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Halcones - Ciervos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WTWTL
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
28.02.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Real Apodaca	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Santiago	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.10.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos	1:0

Ciervos - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide