Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Ciervos		Santiago

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.95	1.45
	8.36	4.73	1.32	Watch
	5.46	3.9	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.69 ↓ (8.6)	4.19 ↓ (5)	1.44 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciervos
13.8%

Draw
22.1%

Santiago
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.7%

18.4%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

17.2%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciervos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santiago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciervos than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santiago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciervos - Santiago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Ciervos is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santiago has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santiago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santiago is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ciervos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ciervos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ciervos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Ciervos	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ciervos - Canamy	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Ciervos	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ciervos - Calor de San Pedro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Santiago FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.11.25	Santiago - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Santiago - Deportivo Zitácuaro	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	Atlético Hidalgo - Santiago	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Santiago - Cordobés	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Halcones - Santiago	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
01.03.25	Ciervos - Santiago	0:3
25.10.24	Santiago - Ciervos	2:1
26.08.23	Ciervos - Santiago	0:1

Ciervos - Santiago: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide