Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Gavilanes de Matamoros		Ciervos

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.50	9.44	Watch
	1.27	4.7	10.3
	1.28	4.41	8.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.31)	4.54 ↑ (4.5)	9.54 ↑ (9.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gavilanes de Matamoros
70.5%

Draw
20%

Ciervos
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.4%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

11.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ciervos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-31.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gavilanes de Matamoros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciervos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciervos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

Gavilanes Matamoros has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciervos has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ciervos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gavilanes Matamoros is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Calor de San Pedro	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Ciervos FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.10.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Ciervos	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ciervos - Calor de San Pedro	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ciervos - Atlético Hidalgo	2:3 penalties ✺
13.09.25	Cordobés - Ciervos	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ciervos - Halcones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Gavilanes de Matamoros - Ciervos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide