Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Prof Cerveira Pinto (Cinfaes)


	Cinfães		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.78	3.09	2.37
	2.76	3.12	2.44	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.5
	2.76	3.04	2.38
	2.75	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.44 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cinfães
33.2%

Draw
29.9%

Vila Meã
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

29.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Vila Meã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cinfães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (-5%)

Cinfães - Vila Meã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vila Meã may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cinfães won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Cinfães - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Leça - Cinfães	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Cinfães - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Rebordosa - Cinfães	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aparecida - Cinfães	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLW
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Vila Meã - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Vila Meã - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Florgrade - Vila Meã	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Vila Meã - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Leça - Vila Meã	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Vila Meã - Cinfães	0:0

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