Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube (Leca da Palmeira)


	Leça		Cinfães

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.45	4.75
	1.68	3.36	4.74
	1.69	3.4	4.87	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.6
	1.63	3.4	5.15
	1.66	3.33	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.37 ↓ (3.58)	4.81 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leça
54.5%

Draw
26.8%

Cinfães
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cinfães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leça than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cinfães than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Leça - Cinfães Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leça (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Leça is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Leça will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leça won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leça won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cinfaes	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.26	Florgrade - Leça	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Leça - Vila Meã	4:3 ✺
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Leça - Resende	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWW
- Cinfães
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.26	Cinfães - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Rebordosa - Cinfães	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aparecida - Cinfães	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Cinfães - Resende	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Salgueiros 08 - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Cinfães - Leça	1:1
23.02.25	Cinfães - Leça	0:1
27.10.24	Leça - Cinfães	1:0

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