Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Visera de Cemento (Cipolletti)


	Cipolletti		Germinal

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.55	6.7
	1.43	3.64	7.25
				Watch
	1.44	3.72	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	7.12 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cipolletti
62.5%

Draw
24.8%

Germinal
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

26%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

24.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Cipolletti - Germinal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cipolletti (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Veron A. (G) 9. Dichiara R. 7. Ibarra C. 11. Lucero G. 6. Marin Y. 3. Mbombaj G. 2. Mellado L. 10. Paez M. 5. Stancato A. 4. Trejo N. 8. Vella L.	1. Velazquez F. (G) 8. Duarte K. 2. Esculino I. 23. Ferro R. 11. Galabert E. 6. Palavecino A. 7. Perez I. 4. Ponce A. 10. Santilli E. 5. Silva F. 3. Teran I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Mellado L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Galabert E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Ibarra C. (Pen),
87', 2 - 1, Ibarra C. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Almiron A. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Cipolletti is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Winners stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 1.

Cipolletti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Germinal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Germinal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cipolletti is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cipolletti won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Cipolletti
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Cipolletti - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Guillermo Brown - Cipolletti	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTW
- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.06.25	Deportivo Rincón - Germinal	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	Germinal - Cipolletti	0:1
07.07.24	Cipolletti - Germinal	1:1
11.05.24	Germinal - Cipolletti	1:1
08.10.23	Cipolletti - Germinal	2:2
06.08.23	Germinal - Cipolletti	0:0
18.06.23	Cipolletti - Germinal	1:0

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