Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 4

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)


	Germinal		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.78	2.05	Watch
	4.23	2.75	1.95
	4.13	2.82	2.12	Watch
	4	2.63	2.05
	4.11	2.95	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.68)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	2.05 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
22.5%

Draw
32.8%

Villa Mitre
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

31.4%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Germinal - Villa Mitre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 5. Macaroff N. 3. Moreno A. 8. Moron G. 7. Olivera T. 2. Rios N. 10. Rojas J. 6. Teran I. (C) 11. Velazquez J. 4. Yocco L.	1. Alcaraz M. (G) 6. Bacigalupe S. 5. Battigelli A. 11. Fernandez L. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 10. Perez T. 3. Pinto M. 2. Segalerba G. 4. Silva H. 9. Tarasco R.
Substitutes
20. Estrada J. 19. Gonzalez A. 18. Lires M. 16. Martinez J. C. 17. Nunez G. 12. Rodriguez L. 14. Silva J. 13. Sveruk L. 15. Veloso L.	13. Almada J. 20. Castro E. 15. Escobar M. 18. Gomez S. 12. Manganaro T. (G) 14. Olguin U. 17. Paez M. 19. Tunessi M. 16. Valeri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Oliveri T. 🟨,
28', Mujica P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Nunez G. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Oliveri T. ⚽,
70', Monti L. ↓, Tunessi M. ↑,
70', Battigelli A. ↓, Valeri V. ↑,
71', Macaroff N. 🟨,
81', Pinto M. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
85', Tarasco R. 🟨,
87', Carcamo F. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1.

Villa Mitre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villa Mitre will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.04.26	Círculo Deportivo - Germinal	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	9 de Julio - Germinal	5:0 ✺
05.10.25	Germinal - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLT
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.03.26	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
05.09.25	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.05.25	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:1
23.03.25	Villa Mitre - Germinal	2:0
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0
02.06.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	2:0
07.04.24	Germinal - Villa Mitre	1:0
24.09.23	Villa Mitre - Germinal	3:0
29.07.23	Germinal - Villa Mitre	0:1

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