Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Visera de Cemento (Cipolletti)


	Cipolletti		Villa Mitre

	1	X	2
	2	2.85	3.7
	2	2.78	4.05	Watch
	2.66	2.44	3.13
	2.70	2.42	3.43	Watch
	2.06	2.83	3.84
	2.02	2.93	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.02)	2.71 ↓ (2.99)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cipolletti
41%

Draw
33.9%

Villa Mitre
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cipolletti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cipolletti - Villa Mitre Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crespo F. (G) 8. Almiron A. 7. Ibarra C. 11. Lucero G. 6. Marin Y. 3. Mbombaj G. 10. Mellado L. 2. Piro Y. 5. Stancato A. 4. Trejo N. 9. Vella L.	1. Aguero F. (G) 2. Cepeda G. 4. Dauwalder F. 10. Gonzalez E. 3. Ihitz N. 9. Iriarte L. 5. Jouglard V. 11. Lopez M. 8. Mujica P. 7. Peralta M. 6. Zadel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Paez M. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
64', Peralta M. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
75', Iriarte L. ↓, Cerato L. ↑,
85', Dichiara R. 🟥,
85', Mujica P. ↓, De Hoyos D. ↑,
88', Zadel D. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 1.

Cipolletti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villa Mitre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cipolletti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cipolletti won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cipolletti - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Cipolletti
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.08.25	Deportivo Rincón - Cipolletti	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Cipolletti - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Cipolletti	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Cipolletti - Germinal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWW
- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.08.25	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Villa Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Costa Brava - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.06.25	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	1:1
06.04.25	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	0:2
30.06.24	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	2:0
05.05.24	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	0:1
17.09.23	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	0:0
24.07.23	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	2:0
28.05.23	Cipolletti - Villa Mitre	1:2

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