The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 48.1%
Draw 31.9%
Juventud Unida Universitario 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
30.7%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
30.5%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
1. Crespo F. (G) 9. Acevedo F. 3. Garcia N. T. 11. Lopez M. 8. Lucero G. 6. Manchafico V. 10. Obregon B. 7. Peralta M. 5. Perez S. 2. Piro Y. 4. Trejo N.
1. Lucero J. (G) 2. Alvacete J. 9. Amieva J. 8. Chavarria C. 11. Dorato M. 3. Figueroa L. 4. Garro E. 10. Moya S. 6. Ojeda G. (C) 5. Perez L. 7. Roldan V.
Substitutes
16. Almiron A. 15. Flores V. 13. Huichulef J. 20. Jeldres S. 18. Mosca C. 19. Pettineroli F. 17. Ranquehue S. 14. Vallejos E. 12. Veron A. (G)
12. Cirrincione E. (G) 14. Gomez F. 17. Gonzalez A. 20. Lima A. 15. Pereyra P. 13. Rosales J. 19. Salinas G. 18. Sosa A. 16. Sosa W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Figueroa L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Juventud Unida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cipolletti could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cipolletti won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cipolletti won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud Unida Universitario - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.