Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 27

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Cirbonero		Cortes

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.4	2.93	2.95
	2.4	2.81	2.95
	2.35	3.13	2.85
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.81)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	2.86 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cirbonero
38.7%

Draw
29.6%

Cortes
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cirbonero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cirbonero's performance.

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cortes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cirbonero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cortes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Cirbonero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cortes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cirbonero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cirbonero won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cirbonero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.03.24	Cirbonero - Bidezarra	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lagunak - Cirbonero	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Cirbonero - Ardoi	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Txantrea - Cirbonero	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Cirbonero - Huarte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTT
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
23.03.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Cortes - Cantolagua	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bidezarra - Cortes	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Cortes - Lagunak	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ardoi - Cortes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
11.11.23	Cortes - Cirbonero	2:1
30.04.22	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:2
09.01.22	Cirbonero - Cortes	1:0
13.02.21	Cortes - Cirbonero	0:0
02.09.18	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0

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