Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 23

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Cortes		Lagunak

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.17	4.24
	1.74	3.35	4.47
	1.75	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.55)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	4.24 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cortes
51.7%

Draw
27%

Lagunak
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.9%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cortes's form might have worsened.

Lagunak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cortes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagunak than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagunak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Recent matches Cortes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lagunak has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lagunak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cortes is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cortes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cortes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.02.24	Ardoi - Cortes	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Huarte - Cortes	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Cortes - Subiza	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Oberena - Cortes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTTL
- SD Lagunak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.02.24	Lagunak - Cantolagua	0:3 ✺
16.02.24	Bidezarra - Lagunak	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lagunak - Peña Sport	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lagunak - Ardoi	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Txantrea - Lagunak	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
12.10.23	Lagunak - Cortes	1:1
01.04.23	Cortes - Lagunak	1:0
03.12.22	Lagunak - Cortes	1:0

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