The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Città di Fasano 36.7%
Draw 30.1%
Fidelis Andria 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
30%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
30.1%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Città di Fasano's performance.
Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fidelis Andria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Città di Fasano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fidelis Andria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, De Mori E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Città di Fasano won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Città di Fasano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Città di Fasano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Città di Fasano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Città di Fasano - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.