Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 7

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.72
	2.49	3.13	2.61
	2.57	3.25	2.56	Watch
	2.38	3.08	2.83
	2.46	3.18	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (1.92)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	2.66 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
37%

Draw
28.8%

Città di Fasano
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Francavilla's form might have worsened.

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Città di Fasano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Città di Fasano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 🟥,
90', 0 - 1, Lagzir S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Virtus Francavilla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Città di Fasano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Virtus Francavilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Città di Fasano has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
05.10.25	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Real Normanna	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Ferrandina - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Martina Calcio	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Barletta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTT
- US Città di Fasano
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Città di Fasano - Gravina	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
05.10.25	Città di Fasano - Nardo	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Acerrana - Città di Fasano	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Città di Fasano - Nola	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Città di Fasano - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
30.03.25	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano	1:1
17.11.24	Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla	0:1
Club Friendly
18.08.22	Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla	1:2

Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide