Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Real Normanna

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.45	2.62
	1.62	3.48	5.31
	1.62	3.2	5
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.64	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.29)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	4.69 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
52.9%

Draw
27.4%

Real Normanna
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Città di Fasano's performance.

Real Normanna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Normanna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Città di Fasano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Normanna than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Normanna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Città di Fasano - Real Normanna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Esposito G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Fasano is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Martina Calcio - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Città di Fasano - Pompei	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLL
- ASD Real Normanna
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Real Normanna - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Real Normanna - Martina Calcio	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paganese - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Real Normanna - Barletta	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ferrandina - Real Normanna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLT

Città di Fasano - Real Normanna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide