Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Barletta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.55
	1.98	3.3	3.36
	1.95	3.31	3.59	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.42
	2	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.87)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
46.1%

Draw
27.5%

Barletta
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Città di Fasano - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fasano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fasano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Ferrandina - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Francavilla - Città di Fasano	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Città di Fasano - Pompei	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Manfredonia - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Città di Fasano - Francavilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLTW
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Real Normanna - Barletta	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Martina Calcio - Barletta	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Barletta - Paganese	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Afragolese - Barletta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
28.04.24	Barletta - Città di Fasano	2:3
17.12.23	Città di Fasano - Barletta	1:1
07.05.23	Città di Fasano - Barletta	1:3
21.12.22	Barletta - Città di Fasano	2:1

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