Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 30

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Cittanovese		Paternò

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.45
	2.95	2.85	2.35
	2.95	2.87	2.37
	2.88	3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.1)	2.9 ↓ (3.08)	2.37 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
31.2%

Draw
31%

Paternò
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittanovese's form might have worsened.

Paternò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paternò's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittanovese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paternò, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Cittanovese - Paternò Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cittanovese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paternò will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Cittanovese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paternò is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.04.23	Locri - Cittanovese	3:1 ✺
19.03.23	Cittanovese - Mariglianese	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Catania - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Cittanovese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Licata - Cittanovese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTT
- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.04.23	Paternò - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Castrovillari - Paternò	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Locri - Paternò	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Paternò - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Catania - Paternò	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3
22.05.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	4:3
23.01.22	Cittanovese - Paternò	0:5
03.03.21	Cittanovese - Paternò	1:1

Cittanovese - Paternò: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide