Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Licata		Cittanovese

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.35
	1.83	3.17	4.14
	1.89	3.2	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	3.71 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Licata
46.4%

Draw
29.2%

Cittanovese
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Licata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cittanovese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Licata than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Licata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Licata - Cittanovese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Licata won 2.

Recent matches Licata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cittanovese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Licata will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Licata won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Licata won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Licata 1931
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.02.23	Città di SantAgata - Licata	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Licata - Paternò	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Locri - Licata	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Licata - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Catania - Licata	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Cittanovese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.02.23	Cittanovese - San Luca	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Ragusa - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Cittanovese - Trapani	2:3 ✺
29.01.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Cittanovese	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Cittanovese - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.10.22	Cittanovese - Licata	0:4
20.04.22	Licata - Cittanovese	2:2
14.11.21	Cittanovese - Licata	1:4
21.03.21	Licata - Cittanovese	2:2
25.10.20	Cittanovese - Licata	1:0
12.01.20	Cittanovese - Licata	1:0
08.09.19	Licata - Cittanovese	2:2

Licata - Cittanovese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide