Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Cittanovese		Portici

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.4	4	6.35
	1.42	4.03	6.31
	1.42	3.6	7
	1.44	4.1	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	3.93 ↑ (3.91)	6.47 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittanovese
63.2%

Draw
22.9%

Portici
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

23.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittanovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Portici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittanovese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portici than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Cittanovese - Portici Predictions

Users Predictions: Cittanovese will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Cittanovese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portici is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittanovese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cittanovese have a series of guest games.

In this match Cittanovese is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittanovese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittanovese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cittanovese Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie D
30.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Cittanovese	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.04.22	Lamezia Terme - Cittanovese	3:0 ✺
20.04.22	Licata - Cittanovese	2:2 ✺
14.04.22	Cittanovese - San Luca	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Gelbison Cilento - Cittanovese	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWL
- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.04.22	Portici - Trapani	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Città di SantAgata - Portici	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Portici - Acireale	0:1 ✺
06.04.22	San Luca - Portici	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Paternò - Portici	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
12.12.21	Portici - Cittanovese	0:2
07.04.19	Portici - Cittanovese	2:1
02.12.18	Cittanovese - Portici	2:1
08.04.18	Portici - Cittanovese	0:0
19.11.17	Cittanovese - Portici	0:1

Cittanovese - Portici