Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Portici		Acireale

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.37
	2.95	2.97	2.32
	3	3	2.25
	2.94	3.45	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	3.09 ↓ (3.48)	2.33 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
31.4%

Draw
29.5%

Acireale
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.2%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Portici - Acireale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portici won 1.

Portici is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Acireale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portici could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Portici won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Portici won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
31.01.24	Reggina - Portici	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Portici - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Sancataldese - Portici	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Portici - Locri	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Canicattì - Portici	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLT
- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
31.01.24	Acireale - Siracusa	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	San Luca - Acireale	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Reggina - Acireale	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Acireale - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Acireale - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
08.10.23	Acireale - Portici	1:0
10.04.22	Portici - Acireale	0:1
28.11.21	Acireale - Portici	1:1
16.12.18	Portici - Acireale	2:0
22.04.18	Portici - Acireale	4:4
03.12.17	Acireale - Portici	2:0

Portici - Acireale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide