Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Flaminia Civita Castellana

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.13	2.97	3.28
	2.22	2.85	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.16)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
41.7%

Draw
30.9%

Flaminia Civita Castellana
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Flaminia Civita Castellana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 3.

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Flaminia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostia Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.01.23	Orvietana - Ostia Mare	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Ostia Mare - Trestina	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Ostia Mare	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Ostia Mare - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTLW
- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.01.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Livorno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
21.12.22	Città di Castello - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:1 ✺
17.12.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Mobilieri Ponsacco	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
28.02.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	1:2
11.10.20	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.12.18	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	2:2
01.10.17	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:2
26.03.17	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1
13.11.16	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	3:0
06.03.16	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Ostia Mare	0:0

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