Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Trestina

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.86	3.4	3.7
	1.79	3.73	4.14
	1.86	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	3.82 (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
49.7%

Draw
26.4%

Trestina
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for Trestina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ostia Mare - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Rasi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Ferri Marini D. ⚽,
50', 2 - 1, Pinna P. ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Ostia Mare is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Trestina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Trestina have a series of home games.

In this match Ostia Mare is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.03.25	Fezzanese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ostia Mare - Fulgens Foligno	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ostia Mare - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Terranuova Traiana - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTTW
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.03.25	Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Fezzanese - Trestina	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Trestina - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Trestina - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Trestina - Figline	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.05.23	Trestina - Ostia Mare	2:2
21.12.22	Ostia Mare - Trestina	0:0
06.06.21	Ostia Mare - Trestina	1:1
30.01.21	Trestina - Ostia Mare	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.01.17	Ostia Mare - Trestina	2:1

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