Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Città di Fasano		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.25	3
	1.95	3.37	3.53	Watch
	1.95	3.28	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.12)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.35 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Fasano
45.3%

Draw
27.6%

Paganese
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Fasano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+2%)

Città di Fasano - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
111', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Fasano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fasano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fasano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.04.26	Real Normanna - Città di Fasano	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Città di Fasano - Martina Calcio	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Barletta - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Città di Fasano - Ferrandina	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pompei - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
11.04.26	Paganese - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Real Normanna - Paganese	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ferrandina - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paganese - Martina Calcio	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Manfredonia - Paganese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Paganese - Città di Fasano	0:0
20.12.23	Paganese - Città di Fasano	2:1

Città di Fasano - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide