Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Real Normanna		Paganese

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.64	3.27	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	1.98 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Normanna
25.7%

Draw
28.4%

Paganese
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Normanna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Normanna than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paganese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Normanna won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Normanna	6	3	1	2	10:10	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Real Normanna
Italian Serie D - Group H
29.03.26	Barletta - Real Normanna	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Real Normanna - Ferrandina	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Real Normanna - Manfredonia	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Francavilla - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Real Normanna - Sarnese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
29.03.26	Ferrandina - Paganese	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paganese - Martina Calcio	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Manfredonia - Paganese	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Paganese - Barletta	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sarnese - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
23.11.25	Paganese - Real Normanna	1:0

Real Normanna - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide