The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paganese 43%
Draw 29.4%
Martina Calcio 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
29.9%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
31.1%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Martina Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Paganese - Martina Calcio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 2.
Recent form of Paganese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Martina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Paganese could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paganese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).