Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Città di SantAgata		Gioiese

	1	X	2
	1.07	9.5	23
	1.07	10.97	13.3
	1.08	10.97	13.3
	1.09	8.2	16.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.43)	9.91 ↑ (4.12)	16.53 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di SantAgata
85.2%

Draw
9.3%

Gioiese
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

16.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di SantAgata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Città di SantAgata's performance.

Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gioiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di SantAgata than the current prediction. (-38.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Città di SantAgata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gioiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Città di SantAgata is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gioiese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gioiese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Città di SantAgata is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Città di SantAgata
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.11.23	Licata - Città di SantAgata	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Città di SantAgata - Portici	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Siracusa - Città di SantAgata	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Città di SantAgata - San Luca	4:2 ✺
01.11.23	Lamezia Terme - Città di SantAgata	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLWL
- Gioiese 1918
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.11.23	Gioiese - Licata	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Portici - Gioiese	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Gioiese - Siracusa	0:4 ✺
02.11.23	San Luca - Gioiese	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Gioiese - Lamezia Terme	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTT

Città di SantAgata - Gioiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide