The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gioiese 13.9%
Draw 21.8%
Licata 64.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.4%
22.7%
60.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.1%
22.3%
62.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Licata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Licata than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
Gioiese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Licata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gioiese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.