Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.65	2.85	Watch
	2.78	2.68	2.82
	2.77	2.76	3.07
	2.94	2.65	2.89	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.88
	2.81	2.71	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	2.68 ↓ (2.86)	2.9 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
33.2%

Draw
34.7%

Agropecuario Argentino
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

32.7%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.4%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agropecuario Argentino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agropecuario Argentino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Agropecuario will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Cuello E. 8. Yeri N. 5. Quintana B. 10. Gonzalez A. (C) 11. Diaz A. 7. Sanchez G. 9. Caraballo K.	1. Acosta L. (G) 4. Perez F. 2. Sanchez F. 6. Lecanda T. 3. Napolitano A. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Ramos M. 8. Auzqui C. 7. Blando B. (C) 9. Gagliardi A. 11. Vasquez D.
Substitutes
12. Alvarez E. (G) 13. Chacon J. 19. Duarte B. 14. Fernandez T. 18. Gutierrez M. 20. Maciel J. 17. Mucignat F. 16. Peralta F. 15. Vega C.	14. Aguirre A. 15. Aguirre E. 17. Aranda B. 18. Castro R. 20. Heritier J. 13. Molina M. 19. Mosqueira R. 12. Salort G. (G) 16. Valdez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Blando B. 🟨,
45+3', Auzqui C. 🟨,
45+3', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gonzalez A. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
66', Vasquez D. ↓, Aranda B. ↑,
66', Auzqui C. ↓, Mosqueira R. ↑,
66', Napolitano A. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
66', Diaz A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
66', Quintana B. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
78', Gagliardi A. ↓, Heritier J. ↑,
79', Gutierrez M. 🟨,
81', Sanchez G. ↓, Mucignat F. ↑,
84', Heritier J. 🟨,
90+2', Blando B. ↓, Valdez J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Mitre - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	All Boys - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	River Plate - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTL
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Güemes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Temperley - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLW

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