Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Estudiantes de Caseros

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.57	2.82	Watch
	2.70	2.65	2.87
	2.72	2.62	2.92	Watch
	2.76	2.7	3.3
	2.87	2.53	3.13	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.9
	2.9	2.64	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.59)	2.6 ↓ (2.6)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
33.2%

Draw
35.7%

Estudiantes de Caseros
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

35.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

35.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 2. Navarro E. 5. Diaz A. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 7. Mucignat F. 4. Paredes A. 8. Yeri N. 11. Gutierrez M. 10. Gonzalez A. (C) 9. Maciel J.	1. Vila F. (G) 2. Benitez J. 5. Melo R. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Quinteros F. 7. Ardiles F. 4. Albarracin M. 8. Sena F. 11. Acosta E. 10. Correa J. 9. Almiron E.
Substitutes
14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 19. Diaz A. 15. Fernandez T. 18. Quintana B. 16. Rodriguez T. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez G. 17. Sotelo M.	13. Bernardi B. 17. Camacho S. 18. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 12. Fumo R. (G) 15. Nunez T. 16. Sanchez de Leon M. 19. Vera I. 20. Vergara J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Mucignat F. ⚽, Diaz A. (A),
15', Quinteros F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mucignat F. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
46', Peralta F. 🟨,
55', Almiron E. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
55', Correa J. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Vera I. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Diaz A. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
78', Yeri N. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
81', Acosta E. ↓, Vergara J. ↑,
81', Melo R. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Vera I. ⚽, Vergara J. (A),
89', Quinteros F. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
90', Paredes A. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,

Preview

Federation decision.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Ciudad de Bolívar - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Colón - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	San Telmo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTWW
- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - All Boys	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Los Andes - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Godoy Cruz	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWLT

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