Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Ciudad de Bolívar		San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.65	4	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.8
	2.18	2.68	3.85	Watch
	2.23	2.72	4.22
	2.22	2.61	4.22	Watch
	2.15	2.6	4
	2.12	2.64	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.39)	2.66 ↑ (2.62)	4.02 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
42.4%

Draw
34.6%

San Miguel
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

35.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

35.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Ciudad de Bolívar - San Miguel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 2 - 40%). San Miguel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 8. Yeri N. 5. Quintana B. 10. Gonzalez A. (C) 11. Diaz A. 7. Sanchez G. 9. Caraballo K.	1. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 4. Coronel F. 2. Cardozo F. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cruz A. 10. Ferrero J. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 8. Serra M. 7. Juarez D. 11. Delgado L. 9. Nasta B.
Substitutes
12. Alvarez E. (G) 14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 15. Fernandez T. 19. Gutierrez M. 20. Maciel J. 18. Mucignat F. 16. Rodriguez T. 17. Sotelo M.	17. Adin D. 13. Aguirre F. 20. Almeida F. 18. Brochero L. 15. De la Cruz E. 16. Diaz T. 19. Oses M. 14. Renteria D. 12. Sosa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Juarez D. ⚽,
26', Ferrero J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Quintana B. (A),
33', Peralta F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Quintana B. 🟨,
75', Caraballo K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Ciudad de Bolívar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Miguel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ciudad de Bolívar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ciudad de Bolívar could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	San Telmo - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Chaco For Ever - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:4 ✺
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWLW
- CA San Miguel
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	San Miguel - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Mitre - San Miguel	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	All Boys - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	San Miguel - Los Andes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTTL

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