Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.35	4	8.25
	1.35	4.1	9
	1.4	3.8	11.11
	1.42	3.55	12.96	Watch
	1.33	4.15	9.4
	1.35	4.1	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.82)	3.95 ↑ (3.4)	9.95 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
67.4%

Draw
23.3%

Independiente Chivilcoy
9.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Pucheta M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLTW
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0
24.08.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0
15.05.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0
21.08.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0
25.04.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	Deportivo Morón - Ciudad de Bolívar	✺

Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy