Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.75	2.95
	2.42	2.8	3
	2.42	2.67	3.05
				Watch
	2.38	2.86	3.04
	2.42	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.22)	2.78 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
37.5%

Draw
32.5%

Sarmiento de La Banda
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ciudad de Bolívar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', Vesco L. 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Ciudad de Bolívar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarmiento de La Banda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ciudad de Bolívar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWWW
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0

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