Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.6	3.6
	2.14	2.8	3.6
	2.29	2.52	3.77
	2.32	2.62	3.96	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.7
	2.25	2.57	3.77
	2.22	2.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)	2.64 ↓ (2.94)	3.73 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
41.1%

Draw
34.5%

Ciudad de Bolívar
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Tumbesi F. 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.24	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:2 ✺
01.09.24	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTWL
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Germinal	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0
15.05.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0
21.08.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0
25.04.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0

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