Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday


	Sportivo Las Parejas		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	1.98
	4	3	1.95
	3.76	2.97	2
				Watch
	4.58	3.13	1.79
	4	3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.27)	3 ↑ (2.59)	1.93 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Las Parejas
22.7%

Draw
30.3%

Sarmiento de La Banda
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

35.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

35.3%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Las Parejas's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarmiento de La Banda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Las Parejas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de La Banda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Bernal R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', Britos F. 🟥,
83', Almada L. 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Sportivo Las Parejas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarmiento de La Banda is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarmiento de La Banda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.24	9 de Julio - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWTW

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