Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda) 🌤️ ...


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.00	4.60
	1.84	3.05	3.90
	1.72	3.07	4.86
	1.76	3.15	4.97	Watch
	1.70	3.00	4.80
	1.76	2.95	4.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	4.68 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
51.2%

Draw
29.6%

Sportivo Belgrano
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

29.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Martina L. (G)
	2. Beltran C.
	11. Bono J.
	5. Caviglia J.
	8. Churchi S.
	6. Ferrero G.
	4. Ferreyra L.
	10. Forlin M.
	7. Lehmann A.
	9. Lesman G.
	3. Pennesi T.
Substitutes
	18. Brener F.
	12. Carena J. (G)
	17. Franceschi E.
	14. Gancedo M.
	16. Gimenez J.
	20. Mercado E.
	13. Paiz J.
	19. Pastorelli A.
	15. Racca F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs and 9th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Promotion - Playoffs).

Sarmiento La Banda is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sportivo Belgrano has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sarmiento La Banda carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento La Banda has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sarmiento La Banda against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.10.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - 9 de Julio	1:4 ✺
30.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.10.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.10.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1
23.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0

Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano