Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciudad de La Banda (La Banda)


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.80	4.10
	2.00	2.88	3.65
	1.89	2.75	4.56
	1.96	2.87	4.36	Watch
	1.87	2.70	4.50
	1.91	2.78	4.57
	1.90	2.80	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.1)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)	4.28 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
46.8%

Draw
32.2%

Sportivo Belgrano
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

31.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento La Banda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 9. Gonzalez N. 5. Juarez N. 2. Nunez C. 3. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 6. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 11. Triverio G. 7. Veliz R.	1. Martina L. (G) 2. Beltran C. 9. Bono J. 5. Caviglia J. 8. Churchi S. 11. Contreras P. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 3. Gancedo M. 7. Lehmann A. 10. Pastorelli A. 6. Pennesi T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Sarmiento La Banda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sportivo Belgrano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarmiento La Banda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTW
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético Escobar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0

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