Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Solitude (Belfast)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
World	Onefootball


	Cliftonville		St Josephs

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.33	3.15
	2.40	3.49	2.73	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.27	3.41	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.08)	3.32 ↑ (3.31)	2.95 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cliftonville
40.4%

Draw
28.1%

St Josephs
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

St Josephs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Cliftonville - St Josephs Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cliftonville will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cliftonville: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cliftonville (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cliftonville (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ridd L. (G) 22. Casey O. 12. Leppard S. 4. Addis J. 14. Conlan L. 2. Pepper C. 8. Hale R. (C) 6. Wilson H. 9. Curran R. 19. Gormley J. 21. Glynn M.	1. Banda B. (G) 2. Jolley E. 4. Paul J. 20. Cardozo T. 5. Barba G. 23. Alvarez F. 22. Juanma (C) 6. Sanchez M. 25. Armental A. 9. Rodriguez Moreno P. 10. Rey A.
Substitutes
37. Corrigan R. 10. Falls C. 16. Gordon S. 36. Hawthorne K. 39. Mahoney O. 18. McKay C. 31. Morrison P. (G) 35. Murray O. (G) 41. Sheridan J.	24. Adamou H. 7. Forjan J. 17. Gibson M. 18. Jesslen H. 12. Martinez A. 3. Olivero J. 15. Santos E. 11. Volz L. 13. Zappacosta M. (G)
Coaches
Magilton J.	Paz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Rodriguez Moreno P. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Glynn M. ⚽, Curran R. (A),
34', Addis J. 🟨,
44', Casey O. 🟨,
45+1', Cardozo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Casey O. 🟨,
62', Armental A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
62', Rodriguez Moreno P. ↓, Forjan J. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Gormley J. ⚽, Hale R. (A),
66', Cardozo T. ↓, Gibson M. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Juanma ⚽,
74', Curran R. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
81', Gormley J. ↓, Falls C. ↑,
81', Glynn M. ↓, Corrigan R. ↑,
90+3', Juanma ↓, Adamou H. ↑,
90+3', Alvarez F. ↓, Jesslen H. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
92', 2 - 3, Jesslen H. ⚽,
99', Hale R. ↓, Hawthorne K. ↑,
99', Wilson H. ↓, McKay C. ↑,
108', Rey A. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
113', Banda B. 🟨,
116', Leppard S. ↓, Sheridan J. ↑,
117', Hawthorne K. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

St Josephs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cliftonville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cliftonville FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.25	St Josephs - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Cliftonville - Derry City	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	Cliftonville - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
11.05.25	Coleraine - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWWW
- St Josephs FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.25	St Josephs - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
Gibraltar National League
03.05.25	St Josephs - Lions Gibraltar	6:0 ✺
26.04.25	Manchester 62 - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	St Josephs - Europa	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Magpies - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.07.25	St Josephs - Cliftonville	2:2

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