Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


International	Onefootball


	St Josephs		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.31
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.09	3.3	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.9)	3.23 ↓ (4)	3.31 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Josephs
43.6%

Draw
28.6%

Cliftonville
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

22.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Josephs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Josephs's performance.

Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cliftonville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	19%	33.3%

St Josephs - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. St Josephs will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Cliftonville will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Josephs: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. St Josephs (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Cliftonville (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banda B. (G) 2. Jolley E. 4. Paul J. 20. Cardozo T. 5. Barba G. 6. Sanchez M. 22. Juanma (C) 23. Alvarez F. 25. Armental A. 9. Rodriguez Moreno P. 10. Rey A.	24. Ridd L. (G) 2. Pepper C. 7. Kearney S. 4. Addis J. 14. Conlan L. 22. Casey O. 6. Wilson H. 8. Hale R. (C) 25. Keaney J. 19. Gormley J. 9. Curran R.
Substitutes
24. Adamou H. 7. Forjan J. 17. Gibson M. 18. Jesslen H. 12. Martinez A. 3. Olivero J. 15. Santos E. 11. Volz L. 13. Zappacosta M. (G)	37. Corrigan R. 10. Falls C. 21. Glynn M. 16. Gordon S. 12. Leppard S. 18. McCay C. 32. McWoods E. 31. Morrison P. (G) 35. Murray O. (G) 41. Sheridan J. 3. Stewart S.
Coaches
Paz A.	Magilton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Alvarez F. 🟨,
30', Hale R. 🟨,
32', Wilson H. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
38', Cardozo T. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Curran R. ⚽, Hale R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Keaney J. 🟥,
55', 1 - 1, Rey A. (Pen),
58', Gormley J. ↓, McWoods E. ↑,
60', Alvarez F. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
64', Rodriguez Moreno P. 🟨,
66', Ridd L. 🟨,
69', Rodriguez Moreno P. ↓, Forjan J. ↑,
69', Armental A. ↓, Jesslen H. ↑,
72', Hale R. ↓, Stewart S. ↑,
72', Curran R. ↓, Corrigan R. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Addis J. (Pen),
81', Juanma ↓, Adamou H. ↑,
81', Jolley E. ↓, Volz L. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Rey A. ⚽, Volz L. (A),

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Europa point stadium.

St Josephs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

St Josephs is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Josephs FC
Gibraltar National League
03.05.25	St Josephs - Lions Gibraltar	6:0 ✺
26.04.25	Manchester 62 - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	St Josephs - Europa	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Magpies - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	St Josephs - Europa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Cliftonville FC
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Cliftonville - Derry City	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	Cliftonville - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
11.05.25	Coleraine - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
03.05.25	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWL

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