Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday


	Clivense		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.84	3.43	3.7
	1.73	3.2	4
	1.84	3.28	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.22)	3.3 ↑ (3.03)	3.93 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clivense
50.1%

Draw
27.1%

Real Calepina
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clivense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clivense's performance.

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Calepina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clivense than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clivense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 14).

Clivense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Calepina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Calepina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Clivense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Clivense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Clivense
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.01.24	Desenzano Calvina - Clivense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Clivense - Varesina	1:1 ✺
20.12.23	Clivense - Arconatese	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Castellanzese - Clivense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Brusaporto - Clivense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWL
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.01.24	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Castellanzese - Real Calepina	2:1 ✺
20.12.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Real Calepina - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Caldiero Terme - Real Calepina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
20.09.23	Real Calepina - Clivense	1:2

Clivense - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide