Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Ponte San Pietro Isola		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.9	3.8
	1.94	2.85	3.65
	1.85	3	3.7
	1.96	3.04	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.64)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	3.74 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte San Pietro Isola
46.2%

Draw
30.1%

Real Calepina
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte San Pietro Isola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte San Pietro Isola's performance.

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Calepina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte San Pietro Isola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Calepina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte San Pietro won 1.

Ponte San Pietro is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Calepina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Calepina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponte San Pietro won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte San Pietro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte San Pietro Isola
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.23	Villa Valle - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina	4:5 ✺
03.12.23	Brusaporto - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Clivense - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWLL
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.12.23	Real Calepina - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Caldiero Terme - Real Calepina	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Real Calepina - Crema	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Legnano - Real Calepina	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Real Calepina - Pro Palazzolo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.02.23	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0
16.10.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	1:1
27.04.22	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:1
12.12.21	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	2:0
28.02.21	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina	0:1
11.10.20	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	3:1

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide