Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Club Almagro		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.7	2.85	2.8	Watch
	2.91	2.85	2.88
	2.86	2.74	2.85	Watch
	2.7	2.88	2.7
	2.75	2.76	2.75
	2.65	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.5)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
33.8%

Draw
32.8%

Racing de Córdoba
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Club Almagro - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Gonzalez E. (G) . Garcia M. . Yegros U. . Busto L. . Pinto M. . Castro T. . Vitale J. . Quiroga F. . Gonzalez A. . Cucchi P. . Dornell T.	. Mattalia J. (G) . Chamorro R. . Albarracin M. . Ferrero G. . Fernandez L. . Rostagno G. . Diaz G. . Monti L. . Machado M. . Vignolo J. . Chavarria P.
Substitutes
. Baldunciel L. . Diosquez N. . Lattanzio C. . Limousin C. (G) . Luayza M. . Orlando J. . Rios R. . Rodriguez A.	. Abello D. . Barrios L. . Churchi S. . Gutierrez M. . Maslovski M. (G) . Olivera W. . Oyola A. I. . Sanchez G. . Sanchez N.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Arzubialde H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Luayza M. (A),
7', Monti L. 🟨,
14', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
19', Fernandez L. 🟨,
21', Vitale J. 🟨,
24', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
45+1', Rostagno G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lattanzio C. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
46', Monti L. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
61', Pinto M. 🟨,
66', Luayza M. 🟨,
70', Dornell T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
74', Rostagno G. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
75', Fernandez L. ↓, Abello D. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Sanchez G. ⚽,
78', Castro T. ↓, Gancedo M. ↑,
84', Vignolo J. ↓, Olivera W. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Club Almagro	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Club Almagro - All Boys	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Alvarado - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTTWT
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - San Miguel	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Colegiales - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTTW

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